The denominator changes the story
Why counts and population rates can produce different rankings, and what neither measure can establish alone.
Note · 2026
Writing
Writing
Articles and notes.
Long-form analysis and short explanations. Start with everything, or filter by kind.
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More frames do not mean more movies
Why repeated frame measurements do not provide the same information as independently sampled films.
Note · 2026
Criteria move the answers. Separation moves discriminability.
A worked example showing how decision thresholds change responses without changing fixed discriminability.
Note · 2026
Can padding change audio-classification metrics?
An ongoing DistilHuBERT study comparing ordinary and masked positional BatchNorm under minimal and additional padding.
Ongoing studyNote · 2026
A useful local agent earns its keep
Evaluate a local agent by the useful result after preparation, review, correction, and unsuccessful attempts.
Note · 2026
What’s Artificial Intelligence all about?
A small hands-on path into the mechanics behind a model.
Article · 2025
US Presidential Elections — A Bayesian Perspective
A Bayesian view of polling and the uncertainty around a US presidential election.
Article · 2025
Bayesian Modeling for Psychologists, Part 2
Mixed-effects linear models and generalized linear models, continued from the Bayesian modeling series.
Article · 2024
Bayesian Modeling for Psychologists, Part 1
An introduction to Bayesian modeling for psychologists, with an emphasis on updating statistical skills.
Article · 2024
Rejecting the null hypothesis or not?
When different interpretations of probability disagree about what p-values mean.
Article · 2023
Netflix trends
Text data visualization and analysis of Netflix titles.
Article · 2023
Real Vs. Fake news in football
An experiment in NLP and text classification using football news.
Article · 2023
What makes FIFA 23 players good?
An experiment with Elastic-net regression and decision-tree boosting on FIFA 23 player ratings.
Article · 2023
Who is the leading US state in UFO reports? probably not what you thought
Visualizing UFO reports per state capita, where the denominator changes the story.
Article · 2023
Cage-free vs. caged hens in the US
A TidyTuesday visualization of the changing number of cage-free hens in the US.
Article · 2023